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Trump privately doubts Miller as GOP splits over abuse claimsDonald Trump stands behind a speaker at a podium during a press event.
Intra-party splitAug 6, 2026

Trump privately doubts Miller as GOP splits over abuse claims

68%
32%

68% Left — 32% Right

Estimated · Domestic abuse allegations involving a child's fractured collarbone, corroborated concern from the accuser's own father (a sitting Republican senator), and an admission of spraying an ex-spouse with a hose tend to generate broad public skepticism of the accused across party lines, not just among Democrats. Most Americans, including many Republicans and independents, generally view credible-sounding abuse allegations as disqualifying for public office even absent criminal charges, though a meaningful minority accepts due-process and false-allegation framing especially when politically aligned with the accused. Moderates likely split the difference: troubled by the allegations but hesitant to fully convict without legal proceedings, pulling the overall opinion left of center but not overwhelmingly so.

Purple = 40% dissent within the right

EstimateDomestic abuse allegations involving a child's fractured collarbone, corroborated concern from the accuser's own father (a sitting Republican senator), and an admission of spraying an ex-spouse with a hose tend to generate broad public skepticism of the accused across party lines, not just among Democrats. Most Americans, including many Republicans and independents, generally view credible-sounding abuse allegations as disqualifying for public office even absent criminal charges, though a meaningful minority accepts due-process and false-allegation framing especially when politically aligned with the accused. Moderates likely split the difference: troubled by the allegations but hesitant to fully convict without legal proceedings, pulling the overall opinion left of center but not overwhelmingly so.
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Intra-Party Split Detected

Republicans are divided over Max Miller's candidacy: Trump publicly withholds judgment while privately warning Miller his reelection looks doomed, Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio), Miller's ex-father-in-law, calls him a 'danger' unfit for office, and some Republicans are recruiting former Rep. Jim Renacci as a replacement, while Miller and some supporters insist he should stay in the race.

Left says

  • Miller's own ex-father-in-law, Sen. Bernie Moreno, publicly called him a 'danger' to his daughter and said he is unfit to serve, lending credibility to the allegations beyond partisan spin.
  • Miller acknowledged spraying his ex-wife with a sink hose and called it 'horseplay,' an admission that critics say minimizes documented abuse claims rather than refutes them.
  • Medical records show Miller's daughter suffered a fractured collarbone while in his care, and a child-welfare finding was 'indicated' for physical abuse, meaning investigators saw signs of abuse even without conclusive proof of who caused it.
  • Trump's private doubts about Miller's viability, contrasted with his public silence, suggest political calculation about the seat rather than genuine concern for the alleged victims.

Right says

  • Miller has never been criminally charged, and prosecutors found 'insufficient admissible evidence' to bring the case to a grand jury, meaning the allegations remain unproven in any court of law.
  • Miller points to his continued shared custody of his daughter as evidence that authorities did not find the claims credible enough to remove her from his care.
  • Miller frames the situation as a family-court dispute and argues men often face unfair treatment in custody battles, a dynamic he says is underappreciated in the public narrative.
  • Miller draws a direct parallel to Trump's own experience with unproven allegations in 2016, arguing that resilience and standing firm against media pressure is what voters ultimately respect.
  • The Democratic challenger in the race has chosen not to campaign on the abuse allegations, suggesting even opponents see limits to how much this issue should drive the political contest.

Common Take

High Consensus
  • Rep. Max Miller has publicly denied all allegations of abusing his ex-wife and daughter and has not been criminally charged.
  • President Trump privately told Miller his reelection chances look weak, even as he avoided public criticism or calls for him to step down.
  • Sen. Bernie Moreno, Miller's ex-father-in-law, has broken publicly with Miller and condemned him as unfit for office.
  • Ohio's 7th District, a traditionally Republican-leaning seat, faces increased competitiveness heading into the midterms regardless of how the allegations are ultimately resolved.
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The Arguments

Left argues

Sen. Bernie Moreno's public denunciation of his own son-in-law as 'a danger' to his daughter is a highly unusual and credible warning sign, since a Trump-aligned Republican senator would have every incentive to stay quiet unless he genuinely believed his granddaughter was at risk.

Right counters

Family estrangement and bitter divorce disputes often produce extreme rhetoric from relatives on one side, and Moreno's statement, however sincere, is not evidence in a legal sense—it's one father's opinion in an ongoing custody conflict.

Right argues

Miller has never been charged with a crime, prosecutors found insufficient evidence to even bring the case to a grand jury, and he retains shared custody of his daughter—facts that suggest the legal system did not find the allegations substantiated.

Left counters

The absence of criminal charges reflects a high evidentiary bar for prosecution, not innocence; the child-welfare system's 'indicated' finding for physical abuse shows investigators did see signs of abuse even though they couldn't conclusively identify who caused it.

Left argues

Miller's own admission that he sprayed his ex-wife with a sink hose during an argument, dismissed as 'horseplay,' is itself a concerning acknowledgment of aggressive behavior that shouldn't be minimized just because it falls short of a criminal conviction.

Right counters

Characterizing a domestic dispute as 'horseplay' rather than assault is a legitimate interpretive dispute common in contentious divorces, and without corroborating evidence of intent to harm, it's unfair to treat his own words as a confession of abuse.

Right argues

Miller's argument that men are treated unfairly in family court and that unproven allegations shouldn't end a political career echoes Trump's own 2016 experience, and voters—not media narratives—should be the ones to judge his fitness for office.

Left counters

Trump's private doubts about Miller's electability, even while staying publicly neutral, suggest that Republican leadership itself doesn't fully believe the 'unproven allegations' framing is a winning defense, undercutting the parallel Miller is drawing.

Right argues

The fact that Miller's Democratic opponent has explicitly declined to campaign on the abuse allegations suggests that even a motivated political adversary sees limits to exploiting unproven claims, lending some credibility to Miller's insistence that this is being overblown.

Left counters

The opponent's restraint may simply reflect a calculated strategy to let the story damage Miller organically through GOP infighting and media coverage, rather than genuine doubt about the seriousness of the allegations.

Challenge Questions

These questions target genuine internal contradictions — meant to provoke honest reflection.

Right asks Left

If the standard for political accountability is now an 'indicated' child-welfare finding that explicitly could not determine who caused the injury, how should due process apply to anyone accused in a contentious custody dispute, and does lowering that bar risk being weaponized in future political fights?

Left asks Right

If Trump privately told Miller his re-election chances look bad because of the allegations, doesn't that suggest even his own party's leadership believes the claims are serious enough to be politically disqualifying, regardless of the criminal charging decision?

Outlier Report

Left Fringe

Some progressive commentators and Democratic officials calling for Miller's expulsion from Congress outright (a small subset of House Democrats floating this) represent maybe 15-20% of the left, going further than most Americans who'd prefer he simply resign or lose reelection rather than face formal expulsion without conviction.

Right Fringe

MAGA-aligned voices and some conservative commentators who frame this purely as a 'men's rights' family court issue or compare it directly to Trump's 2016 experience (echoing Miller's own framing) represent a vocal but limited subset, maybe 20-25% of the right, with most Republicans privately viewing the allegations as serious even if publicly cautious.

Noise Assessment

High noise ratio: much of the intense political drama (Trump's private vs. public stance, GOP replacement scrambling, ex-father-in-law's public statement) is elevated by inside-Washington political stakes and reflects strategic maneuvering more than it reflects how average voters process the underlying abuse allegations.

Sources (7)

Newsmax

The Democrat challenger to Rep. Max Miller, R-Ohio, told Politico he doesn't want to make his campaign about the abuse allegations against the congressman.

Axios

<div>Data: <a href="https://urldefense.com/v3/__https%3A//www.epi.org/publication/the-cost-of-deportations-calculator-technical-documentation/__;!!Al82Z4c!wKkuxHsCv44LmzLRhR2ZC2FdJfp8Z_x5tPP8tp3ESmyC4daWE3u33OxC-2KHyX7a8cPbj7wqeiZ0kEz1FhDaBfK3Zxxz$" target="_blank">Economic Policy Institute</a>; Map: Danielle Alberti/Axios</div><p>American taxpayers would pay about $2,358 each for President <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump" target="_blank">Trump's</a> mass deportation push, according to a new calculator tool from the Economic Policy Institute.</p><p><strong>Why it matters:</strong> The estimate fuels debate over whether billions of federal dollars devoted to <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/04/15/ice-deportations-us-immigration-trump-biden-2025" target="_blank">deportations</a> could instead fund other public priorities such as food assistance, health care or housing.</p><hr /><p><strong>By the numbers:</strong> EPI estimates the <a href="https://media.nationalpriorities.org/uploads/publications/july_2026_federal_spending_for_mass_deportation_and_detention.pdf" target="_blank">$268.9 billion</a> projected for <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/04/15/ice-deportations-us-immigration-trump-biden-2025" target="_blank">deportations</a> could alternatively fund more than 118 million additional SNAP recipients over the remaining 2.5 years of the Trump administration, based on National Priorities Project data.</p><ul><li>Alternatively, nearly 12 million additional people could receive <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/03/medicaid-work-eligibility-requirement-rules-patients" target="_blank">Medicaid</a>.</li><li>Or more than 9.7 million households could gain access to low-cost public <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/axios-live-what-housing-leaders-say-could-ease-the-crisis" target="_blank">housing</a>.</li></ul><p><strong>What they're saying:</strong> "I don't think people realize how much money is being spent on these mass deportations," Gordon Lafer, a professor at the University of Oregon's Labor Education and Research Center and research associate at EPI, tells Axios.</p><ul><li>"In almost every place in the country, there a lot of people who are struggling to not be hungry, to have affordable housing, kids are in overcrowded classrooms, people don't have health insurance, and those are the things that matter most." </li><li>"Instead, we're spending an unbelievable amount of money, chasing down, detaining, deporting people," he said, noting that most undocumented people <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/01/27/undocumented-immigrants-crime-deportations-trump" target="_blank">lack criminal records</a>. "It costs money that is desperately needed for other things in almost every community in the country."</li></ul><p><strong>The other side:</strong> A Department of Homeland Security spokesperson blamed the <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/joe-biden" target="_blank">Biden</a> administration in a statement to Axios for ignoring the costs of illegal immigration and said the administration's self-deportation program saves taxpayers money.</p><ul><li>The spokesperson encouraged undocumented immigrants to use the CBP Home app, saying the U.S. offers a free flight and a $2,600 stipend to self-deport. The statement said that brings the cost of a self-deportation to about $5,100, saving taxpayers more than $13,000 per person compared with traditional deportation.</li></ul><p><strong>Zoom in:</strong> EPI estimated each area's share of federal income taxes to <a href="https://www.epi.org/deportation-calculator/?utm_source=cision&amp;utm_medium=email" target="_blank">calculate</a> how much taxpayers in each state, county and city would contribute toward deportation spending.</p><ul><li>Areas that contribute a larger share of federal income taxes would shoulder a larger share of the projected cost.</li><li>Washington, D.C., taxpayers could pay $3,930 each. That amount could instead fund SNAP benefits for 455,000 additional people, public housing assistance for 21,000 households or Medicaid coverage for 30,000 people.</li><li>In a small state like Connecticut, taxpayers could pay $3,395 per person. According to the analysis, that amount could alternatively fund SNAP benefits for 1.9 million Connecticuters, public housing assistance for roughly 181,000 households or Medicaid coverage for 186,000 people.sh</li></ul><p><strong>Yes, but:</strong> Taxpayers in states that contribute less in federal income taxes would pay less. </p><ul><li>In West Virginia, for example, taxpayers could pay about $1,297 each.</li><li>That amount could instead fund SNAP benefits for 328,000 people, public housing assistance for 46,000 households or Medicaid coverage for 31,000 people.</li></ul><p><strong>Context:</strong> The $268.9 billion the administration is slated to spend over the course of Trump's second term on deportations is from a combination of money from the <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/12/31/2026-trump-big-beautiful-bill-taxes" target="_blank">One Big Beautiful Bill Act</a>, budget reconciliation bills, regular appropriations and other repurposed funds.</p><ul><li>DHS previously <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/28/trump-self-deportation-ice" target="_blank">told</a> Axios in July that the government spends roughly $18,000 per non-voluntary deportation.</li></ul><p><strong>What's next:</strong> If Congress approves additional funding through the appropriations process or other avenues, total deportation spending would increase.</p><p><strong>Go deeper:</strong> <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/28/trump-self-deportation-ice" target="_blank">How Trump's "self-deportation" push has ramped up</a></p><p><em>Editor's note: This story has been updated with DHS comment.</em></p>

Axios

<p>Rep.<a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/02/max-miller-moreno-abuse-allegations" target="_blank"> Max Miller</a> (R-Ohio) said Tuesday that he won't drop his reelection bid despite facing allegations of domestic abuse and violence from his ex-wife and two other women. </p><p><strong>Why it matters:</strong> Miller has until Wednesday to withdraw from the race, and President <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump" target="_blank">Trump</a> has <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/04/ohio-gop-mess-2026-elections" target="_blank">expressed concern</a> that the embattled congressman could put a reliably Republican seat at risk in the midterms.</p><hr /><p><strong>What they're saying: </strong>When asked about his plans on Tuesday by CNN's Jake Tapper, Miller said he wouldn't withdraw, and pointed to Trump as a reason why.</p><ul><li>"In 2016, when President Donald J. Trump faced the most extreme allegations in the world that hit him day after day after day, and people in the media, very much like yourself and others, said that he would have no shot at winning, that he should not be the president of the United States. But guess what? He stayed in, and he was resilient." </li><li>"And what the American people can see, is ....somebody is fighting, who is resilient, and that is a quality that the American people cherish," Miller said.</li></ul><p><strong>The intrigue: </strong>Miller acknowledged that <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/04/trump-max-miller-moreno-election-house" target="_blank">Trump called him</a> Monday and asked if Miller could still win this November.</p><ul><li>"He said, 'I don't know if you're going to be able to pull this one out.'" Miller said. "I reminded him of the same resilience that he had when people told him that he was going to struggle in 2016, and he became the 45th president of the United States." </li><li>"I have the utmost confidence that my constituents back home know me. This race is a home race. This isn't about what the national media thinks."</li></ul><p><strong>Zoom out:</strong> Miller also said "more than 50% of the people within this country who are divorced." </p><ul><li>Roughly one-third of Americans who've been married reported in 2023 that their first marriage ended in divorce, according to Pew Research Center <a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/10/16/8-facts-about-divorce-in-the-united-states/" target="_blank">data</a>.</li></ul><p><strong>Miller also said</strong> that several allegations of abuse had previously been investigated by law enforcement and that those cases determined he was able to keep shared custody of his daughter. </p><ul><li>He added that men get a "really bad shake when it comes to family court, and it's not addressed enough in any way possible. ... I've received more support than ever from our community, from the people where I live."</li><li>"The allegations are incredibly troubling. I agree they're troubling, but if they were true, I'd be in prison."</li></ul><p><strong>Go deeper:</strong> <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/04/max-miller-ethics-probe-allegations" target="_blank">Miller calls for his own ethics probe following abuse allegations</a></p><p><em>Editor's note: This story has been updated with additional information throughout.</em></p>

Axios

<p>Former Rep. Jim Renacci told Axios in a phone interview Monday night that he may mount a comeback run for Congress if Rep. Max Miller (R-Ohio) drops his bid for reelection.</p><p><strong>Why it matters: </strong>As a former <a href="https://www.axios.com/2018/05/09/ohio-primary-election-results" target="_blank">Republican nominee for U.S. Senate</a> and congressman from the district, Renacci would likely be a serious contender to take Miller's place on the ballot.</p><hr /><ul><li>"I still know a lot of people, I still have good name recognition," Renacci told Axios.</li><li>Miller, who is facing <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/02/max-miller-moreno-abuse-allegations" target="_blank">allegations of domestic abuse</a>, has denied wrongdoing and maintained he plans to run for reelection despite pressure from fellow Republicans to end his campaign.</li></ul><p><strong>Driving the news: </strong>President Trump told Miller in a phone call on Monday that "things aren't looking good" and that the Ohio Republican's reelection would be tough, Axios' Alex Isenstadt and Marc Caputo <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/04/trump-max-miller-moreno-election-house" target="_blank">reported</a>.</p><ul><li>Miller said in a <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/02/max-miller-moreno-abuse-allegations" target="_self">video</a> posted to social media Sunday that he will not drop his bid for reelection and denied allegations that he abused his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, and their young daughter.</li><li>Shortly after his announcement, his ex-father-in-law, Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio), said in a <a href="https://x.com/berniemoreno/status/2083936589424582942" target="_blank">post on X</a> that Miller is "a danger to my daughter, and I hold my breath every minute he has custody of my granddaughter."</li><li>Several House Democrats have called for Miller to resign from Congress, with some lawmakers <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/03/max-miller-expel-congress-democrats-allegations" target="_blank">floating expulsion</a>.</li></ul><p><strong>What they're saying: </strong>"I'm getting calls from everybody," Renacci told Axios. "Many people have asked me to consider, if he did step out, if I would be interested, only because it's my old seat."</p><ul><li>"The people that have called me are donors and actually a campaign team, and a whole bunch of people said, 'We'll get behind you, we've got the team, we've got the donors, we've got the money,'" he said.</li><li>Renacci said he told callers that "if Max Miller would step out and ask me to step in, I would consider it then. But until then, the answer is it's Max Miller's seat until he decides it's not his seat."</li></ul><p><strong>Yes, but: </strong>"I truly don't believe Max is leaving, I think Max is going to stay in the race," Renacci said.</p><p><strong>Between the lines: </strong>There is polling in the field right now testing Renacci's viability as a candidate, the ex-congressman confirmed.</p><ul><li>"I have been told they're going to ... put me in a poll just to see, so it sounds like all that's happening," he said.</li><li>If Miller dropped out before the close of business on Tuesday, a special primary would be held to replace him on the ballot. If he withdrew after that, party leaders would have until Aug. 10 to pick a replacement.</li></ul><p><strong>The bottom line: </strong>"We'll see what happens," said Renacci. "There's a couple days left and I'm very close with Max. I believe these are allegations that, you know, he's going to have to make this decision."</p>

Axios

<p>President Trump phoned Rep. <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/03/max-miller-expel-congress-democrats-allegations" target="_blank">Max Miller</a> Monday and expressed doubts about the Ohio Republican's candidacy amid reports he assaulted his ex-wife and their child, three sources familiar with the call said.</p><ul><li>On the call, the <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump" target="_blank">president</a> told Miller that "things aren't looking good" and repeatedly said his reelection would be tough, the three sources said.</li><li>Miller, who <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/02/max-miller-moreno-abuse-allegations" target="_blank">denies hurting his wife</a> and child, told the president he is staying in the race, one of the sources said.</li></ul><hr /><ul><li>Miller said his own polling showed him in solid shape.</li></ul><p><strong>Why it matters</strong>: The Monday night private conversation was different in tone than Trump's public comments about Miller. The president has refrained from criticizing Miller or from calling on him to drop out of his race.</p><ul><li>Miller, a former Trump White House aide, was married in 2022 to Emily Moreno, the daughter of Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno, at Trump's golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey.</li><li>Later that year, Miller was elected to Ohio's 7th congressional district and was endorsed by Trump. He's in a competitive race for reelection this fall.</li><li>In 2024, Miller and his ex-wife split up prior to their divorce.</li></ul><p><strong>Earlier Monday, </strong>Trump did not back away from Miller, calling the situation "a very sad thing."</p><ul><li>"I know Max, he's a good person, I mean I always thought he was a very good person. And I'm going to let the families figure that out," Trump said.</li><li>"It's accusations. And I'm going to let them figure that out."</li><li>A White House spokesperson and a spokesperson for Miller declined to comment.</li><li>Miller would need to withdraw before Wednesday in order for a special election to be scheduled to replace him on the ballot.</li></ul><p><strong>Go deeper: </strong><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/03/max-miller-expel-congress-democrats-allegations" target="_blank">Democrats mull whether to push Max Miller expulsion</a></p><p><a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/08/03/max-miller-expel-congress-democrats-allegations" target="_blank"> </a></p>

Axios

<p>Ohio GOP Rep. <a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/06/19/max-miller-palestinian-flag-republican-ohio" target="_blank">Max Miller</a> said Sunday he will stay in his reelection race, using a livestream on X to deny allegations he abused his ex-wife and their young daughter.</p><ul><li>Shortly after his announcement, his ex-father-in-law, Sen. <a href="https://www.axios.com/2026/07/29/trump-political-swearing-voter-perceptions" target="_blank">Bernie Moreno</a> (R-Ohio), denounced him as a "danger" to his daughter and unfit for office.</li></ul><p><strong>Why it matters: </strong>The extraordinary public split between two <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump" target="_blank">Trump</a>-aligned Ohio Republicans comes days before the state's deadline to replace Miller on the ballot with a special election — and will only fuel the controversy attached to a seat Democrats are targeting.</p><hr /><p><strong>What we're watching: </strong>A reporter asked President Trump aboard Air Force One Sunday whether he thought Miller should resign following the allegations.</p><ul><li>"I'm gonna look at it," Trump <a href="https://x.com/Acyn/status/2084045457668665723" target="_blank">said</a>. "I mean, so far, it's accusations. I'll be looking at."</li></ul><p><strong>What he's saying: </strong>"I'm not getting out of this race, and I'm winning in November," Miller said near the end of his <a href="https://x.com/MaxMillerOH/status/2083923492676706663" target="_blank">livestream</a>.</p><ul><li>Miller said no court or government agency has substantiated an abuse allegation against him and that he has never faced criminal charges related to the allegations.</li><li>He said a child-welfare agency deemed two reports that he'd abused his daughter as unsubstantiated. One report recorded an "indicated" finding of physical abuse, meaning investigators saw signs of abuse but lacked sufficient evidence and didn't know who caused it. </li><li>Miller<strong> </strong>also denied assaulting his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, who had said Miller threw hot water from a skillet and sprayed her with a sink hose during a 2024 argument. He acknowledged spraying her but denied the water was scalding. He said he did not intend to hurt her and called the incident "horseplay."</li></ul><p><strong>The other side: </strong>Sen. Moreno issued a blistering denunciation shortly after the livestream, saying Miller's behavior had forced him to speak publicly after trying to protect his family's privacy.</p><ul><li>"He is a danger to my daughter, and I hold my breath every minute he has custody of my granddaughter," Moreno <a href="https://x.com/berniemoreno/status/2083936589424582942" target="_blank">wrote on X</a>.</li><li>"If there are any basic standards of character required to hold elected office, Max Miller fails them," he added. "He should not serve in the House of Representatives."</li><li>Stefan Mychajliw, a spokesperson for Emily Moreno, <a href="https://x.com/stefanmychajliw/status/2083947202490114530?s=46" target="_blank">called</a> the livestream a "bizarre and lie-filled rant" and accused Miller of using their daughter as a "PR pawn" to save his political career.</li></ul><p><strong>Catch up quick:</strong> Emily Moreno, who divorced Miller last year, has accused him in court filings of hitting and threatening her. Miller denies the allegations and has sued her for defamation.</p><ul><li>In addition, Emily Moreno alleged their daughter's collarbone fractured while in her father's care, according to medical records. Miller denied causing the injury and argued the bruising resembled marks from a car-seat strap, per court documents.</li><li>Police records show prosecutors didn't file charges after concluding there was "insufficient admissible evidence" to present to a grand jury.<strong> </strong></li><li>Miller previously faced abuse allegations from ex-girlfriend Stephanie Grisham, a former Trump White House press secretary. He also denied those claims and sued her for defamation before dropping the case as part of a 2023 settlement.</li><li>Grisham <a href="https://x.com/MarkSZaidEsq/status/2074628552947835365" target="_blank">sued</a> Miller last month, arguing his recent public statements had violated the settlement's nondisparagement and confidentiality terms. </li></ul><p><strong>The intrigue: </strong>Miller later responded to Sen. Moreno's statement by saying that if his daughter had made similar allegations, he would not have waited two years to act.</p><ul><li>He <a href="https://x.com/MaxMillerOH/status/2083945436188983439" target="_blank">accused</a> Sen. Moreno of " speaking out now … to hide from your own media circus."</li><li>Miller also posted a curated packet of court, police and child-welfare records, along with selected screenshots and recordings. The documents repeatedly name his daughter and provide a home address for his ex-wife.</li><li>Some records omit pages.</li></ul><p><strong>Between the lines: </strong>Miller faces Democrat Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker endorsed by Sen. Bernie Sanders, in Ohio's 7th congressional district outside of Cleveland.</p><ul><li>Voters in the district backed President Trump by 11 percentage points in 2024, 10 points in 2020 and 12 points in 2016.</li></ul><p><strong>What to watch:</strong> Wednesday is <a href="https://codes.ohio.gov/ohio-revised-code/section-3513.312#:~:text=prior%20to%20the-,ninetieth%20day%20before%20the%20day%20of%20such%20general%20election,-%2C%20or%20dies%20prior" target="_blank">Ohio's deadline</a> to trigger a special election to replace Miller on the ballot. Republicans could still fill a vacancy through a party committee but would have to certify a replacement <a href="https://www.ohiosos.gov/assets/election-calendar-2026.pdf" target="_blank">by Aug. 10</a>.</p><ul><li>If he withdraws after Aug. 10, Republicans can't replace Miller.</li><li>One name floated by prominent Republicans as a potential replacement is former GOP state chair Jane Timken, a state senator with the capacity to self-fund a campaign.</li></ul><p><em>Editor's note: This story has been updated with new details throughout. </em></p>

CBS News

Republican Rep. Max Miller of Ohio is defying pressure from both parties to end his reelection campaign amid domestic abuse allegations, which he denies. Axios White House reporter Marc Caputo joins "The Takeout" with the latest on President Trump's response.

This summary was generated by artificial intelligence and may contain errors or mischaracterizations. Always refer to the original sources for authoritative reporting.

Trump privately doubts Miller as GOP splits over abuse claims | TwoTakes